Becker Friedman Institute
for Research in Economics
The University of Chicago

Research. Insights. Impact. Advancing the Legacy of Chicago Economics.

G23: Pension Funds; Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

Sharing R&D Risk in Healthcare via FDA Hedges

Adam Jørring, Andrew W. Lo, Tomas Philipson, Manita Singh, Richard Thakor

The high cost of capital for firms conducting medical research and development (R&D) has been partly attributed to the government risk facing investors in medical innovation. This risk slows down medical innovation because investors must be compensated for it. We propose new and simple financial instruments, Food and Drug Administration (FDA) hedges, to allow medical R&D investors to better share the pipeline risk associated with FDA approval with broader capital markets.

An Equilibrium Model of Institutional Demand and Asset Prices

Ralph Koijen, Motohiro Yogo

We develop an asset pricing model with rich heterogeneity in asset demand across investors, designed to match institutional holdings. The equilibrium price vector is uniquely determined by market clearing for each asset. We relate our model to traditional frameworks including Euler equations, mean-variance portfolio choice, factor models, and cross-sectional regressions on characteristics.

Self-fulfilling Runs: Evidence from the U.S. Life Insurance Industry

Nathan Foley-Fisher, Borghan Narajabad, Stéphane Verani

Is shadow banking vulnerable to self-fulfilling runs? Investors typically decide to withdraw simultaneously, making it challenging to identify self-fulfilling runs. In this paper, we exploit the contractual structure of funding agreement-backed securities offered by U.S. life insurers to institutional investors. The contracts allow us to obtain variation in investors' expectations about other investors' actions that is plausibly orthogonal to changes in fundamentals. We find that a run on U.S. life insurers during the summer of 2007 was partly due to self-fulfilling expectations.