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Research Briefs·Jul 1, 2026

The Economics of Scaling Early Childhood Programs: Lessons from the Chicago School

This paper describes a model that addresses scalability issues surrounding policy proposals by incorporating “Option C thinking” into a program’s initial design, which anticipates at-scale implementation constraints.
Podcasts episode·Jun 23, 2026

Signal and Noise: Why Politics Is About Culture When Voters Want Economics

Voters consistently say they care most about the economy — jobs, wages, inflation, the price of gas. So why are campaigns so often fought over culture? In this episode, Konstantin Sonin, the John Dewey Distinguished Service Professor at the University...
BFI Data Studio·Jun 17, 2026

Carbon Prices, Forest Conservation and Reforestation in the Brazilian Amazon

With modest transfers per ton of net CO₂, Brazil would find it optimal to choose policies that produce substantial capture of greenhouse gasses in the next 30 years, suggesting that the management of tropical forests could play an important role...
BFI Data Studio·Jun 10, 2026

Nursing Homes: Predictably Unpredictable Inspections

In the United States, regulators inspect nursing homes to ensure compliance with quality, safety, and other standards. While these inspections are not technically announced, they are easy for nursing home staff to predict because they usually occur annually.

Latest Frontier Research

BFI Working Paper·Jul 3, 2026

Why is the College Premium Falling? The Role of Composition

Recent studies suggest that the increasing supply of college-educated workers in Latin America has reduced returns to skill, as evidenced by the decreasing college premium. We show that the college premium does not accurately represent returns to skill, particularly in...
BFI Working Paper·Jul 3, 2026

Posted Wage Cyclicality: Evidence from High-Quality Vacancy Data

We estimate high real wage cyclicality using over a decade of online job ads. Our unique, high-quality data—featuring reliable wage rates, firm identifiers, job titles, hiring standards, vacancy counts, and applicant demographics— provides an accurate measure of firms’ marginal labor...
BFI Working Paper·Jul 3, 2026

When the Inspector Knocks at the Door: Effects of Labor Inspections in Brazil

This paper estimates the effects of labor inspections in Brazil. Inspections reduce es-tablishment employment by about 8% within three years, driven mainly by lower hiring, with modest wage declines. Both deterrence and punishment shape these responses: even non-penalized firms contract,...

Past Events

Academic Conferences·Jun 14, 2026, 9:00 AM·University of Chicago

2026 Price Theory Summer Camp

by Luis Garicano and Erik Hurst
Jun 5
Academic Conferences·Jun 5, 2026, 9:00 AM·Encina Hall - 616 Jane Stanford Way C100, Oksenberg Room (3rd Floor), Stanford, CA 94305

2026 IOG Summer Conference

by Marianne Bertrand, Oeindrila Dube, James Fearon, Roger Myerson, Torsten Persson, and Francesco Trebbi
May 28
Academic Conferences·May 28, 2026, 12:00 AM

2026 Conference on the Economics of Crime and Justice

by Jeffrey Grogger, Tom Kirchmaier, and Stephen Machin
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Upcoming Events

Jul 9
Academic Conferences·Jul 9, 2026, 9:00 AM·University of Chicago | David Rubenstein Forum | Room 601 1201 E 60th St, Chicago, IL 60637

2026 Early Career Behavioral Economics Conference

Organizers: Cuimin Ba, John Conlon, Luca Henkel, Alex Imas, Andreas Kraft, and Mattie Toma
Aug 4
Event·Aug 4, 2026, 9:00 AM·Gleacher Center | Room 408 450 Cityfront Plaza Dr, Chicago, IL 60611

2026 MFR Program Summer Session for Young Scholars

Aug 20
Academic Conferences·Aug 20, 2026, 9:00 AM·University of Chicago | David Rubenstein Forum | Room 601 1201 E 60th St, Chicago, IL 60637

Economic Theory Conference XI

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About BFI

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About the Becker Friedman Institute

The Becker Friedman Institute for Economics (BFI) serves as a hub for cutting-edge analysis and research across the entire University of Chicago economics community, uniting researchers from the Booth School of Business, the Kenneth C. Griffin Department of Economics, the...
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Inspired by our namesakes, Nobel Laureates Gary Becker and Milton Friedman, who believed that economics research could help improve the world, BFI works with the Chicago Economics community to turn its evidence-based research into real-world impact.

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University of Chicago faculty members and other accomplished economists set the goals and direction of the Institute.
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