One of my great teachers, Wesley C. Mitchell, impressed on me the basic reason why scholars have every incentive to pursue a value-free science, whatever their values and however strongly they may wish to spread and promote them. In order to recommend a course of action to achieve an objective, we must first know whether that course of action will in fact promote the objective. Positive scientific knowledge that enables us to predict the consequences of a possible course of action is clearly a prerequisite for the normative judgment whether that course of action is desirable. The Road to Hell is paved with good intentions, precisely because of the neglect of this rather obvious point. This point is particularly important in economics. ― Milton Friedman, Nobel Lecture, Journal of Political Economy [read more on Friedman’s views and contributions to economic sciences here.]
The Macro Finance Research Program (MFR) will expand our understanding of how financial markets affect the economy as a whole and, conversely, how the macroeconomy influences financial markets. It will do so by bringing together a community of elite scholars with common ambitions to tackle these important challenges. The program operates under the auspices of the Becker Friedman Institute with generous funding support from The University of Chicago Booth School of Business.
For general program inquiries, please contact Diana Petrova, MFR Program Executive Director, at email@example.com.
Through sponsored research projects, conferences, and interactions with visiting scholars, this program focuses on these fundamental questions:
- How do we best capture the interplay between monetary and fiscal policy?
- How do we construct models and measurements that will better support the prudent oversight of system-wide risks to the financial system?
- How do we provide a more coherent assessment of the financial obligations of government?
- How does the credit cycle influence the business cycle, and how does the business cycle affect the credit cycle?
- What broader lessons can we extract from country-specific monetary and fiscal histories?
MFR Program Advisory Committee
The MFR Program Advisory Committee oversees the research agenda of the program. Members of the committee are prominent experts in macroeconomics and finance with particular interests in exploring linkages between these fields. They have made important substantive research contributions and are well positioned to help the research agenda for the program.
- Lars Peter Hansen, Professor, University of Chicago Departments of Economics, Statistics and the Booth School of Business, Committee Chair
- Fernando Alvarez, Professor, University of Chicago Department of Economics
- John Cochrane, Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution, and BFI Distinguished Research Fellow
- Douglas Diamond, Professor, University of Chicago Booth School of Business
- Zhiguo He, Professor, University of Chicago Booth School of Business
- John Heaton, Professor, University of Chicago Booth School of Business
- Anil Kashyap, Professor, University of Chicago Booth School of Business
- Ralph Koijen, Professor, University of Chicago Booth School of Business
- Thomas Sargent, Professor, New York University Department of Economics and BFI Distinguished Research Fellow
- Amir Sufi, Professor, University of Chicago Booth School of Business
- Harald Uhlig, Professor, University of Chicago Department of Economics
MFR Program Advisory Committee Featured News:
Upcoming MFR Program Conferences and Events
Confronting Uncertainty in Climate Change Conference – April 13-15, 2022 at the University of Chicago and co-sponsored with the Institute for Mathematical and Statistical Innovation (IMSI)
Behavioral Implications of Uncertainty in Macroeconomics Capstone Conference – September 22-23, 2022 at the University of Chicago
Featured COVID-19 Research
An SEIR Infectious Disease Model with Testing and Conditional Quarantine by David Berger, Kyle Herkenhoff, Simon Mongey (Jupyter Notebook)
Uncertainty and Decision-Making During a Crisis: How to Make Policy Decisions in the COVID-19 Context? by Loïc Berger, Nicolas Berger, Valentina Bosetti, Itzhak Gilboa, Lars Peter Hansen*, Christopher Jarvis, Massimo Marinacci, Richard D. Smith
Leverage-Induced Fire Sales and Stock Market Crashes by Jiangze Bian, Zhiguo He*, Kelly Shue, Hao Zhou
Coronavirus: Impact on Stock Prices and Growth Expectations by Niels J. Gormsen, Ralph Koijen*
The Fragility of Market Insurance by Ralph Koijen* and Motohiro Yogo
Dealing with a Liquidity Crisis: Economic and Financial Policies in China during the Coronavirus Outbreak by Zhiguo He* and Bibo Liu
*MFR Program Advisory Committee Member
The MFR Suite provides a collection of Python modules for conducting analysis in macro-finance. In particular, it provides the model solution to the framework developed in Hansen, Khorrami, and Tourre (2018). In addition, it provides two independent modules to compute stationary density and shock elasticities (see Term Structure of Uncertainty in the Macroeconomy and Shock Elasticities and Impulse Responses).
To report issues or suggest improvements for the MFR Suite team, submit feedback here.
We would like to thank project associate Joseph Huang for developing the MFR Suite and MFR research professional Han Xu for launching its second version in June of 2020. We would like to gratefully acknowledge the Macro Financial Modeling project through the generous financial support from the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation and Fidelity Investments and to thank Amy Boonstra, former MFM Executive Director, for her unconditional support. For their feedback, we thank Yu-Ting Chiang (University of Chicago), Jian Li (University of Chicago), Simon Scheidegger (HEC Lausanne), Elisabeth Proehl (University of Amsterdam), and conference participants at the 2nd MMCN, PASC18, University of Zurich, Northwestern University, and participants at the Economic Dynamics Working Group at the University of Chicago. We also would like to thank the Research Computing Center at the University of Chicago (RCC) for their guidance on high performance computing, in particular Peter Carbonetto and Hossein Pourreza. Read more about the MFR Collaboration with the RCC.
Previous MFR Program Conferences and Events
Advancing Macro Finance Workshop – October 7-8, 2021 – organized by Yueran Ma, Kilian Huber and Lars Peter Hansen
[Virtual Conference] 2020 MFR Program Summer Session for Young Scholars – organized by MFR Program Advisory Committee Members– July 28-31, 2020
[Virtual Conference] Expectations in Macroeconomic and Financial Models – June 25-26, 2020 organized by Monika Piazzesi, Michael Woodford and Lars Peter Hansen
The Macroeconomy and Finance in China Conference – December 12-13, 2019 organized by Lars Peter Hansen and Zhiguo He and hosted by Tsinghua University School of Economics and Management in Beijing, China
2019 Cryptocurrencies and Blockchains Conference – November 22-23, 2019 organized by Eric Budish, Zhiguo He, Jacob Leshno, and Harald Uhlig at the University of Chicago
Macro Finance Society 14th Workshop – November 1-2, 2019 – MFR co-sponsoring at the University of Southern California (USC Marshall)
University of Chicago Policy Forum on the Pension Crisis: State and Local Pension Challenges – November 8, 2019 at the University of Chicago – organized by Lars Peter Hansen and James Heckman and co-sponsored by the Center for the Economics of Human Development (CEHD)
2019 Asset Pricing Conference – October 24-25, 2019 organized by Niels Gormsen, Samuel Hartzmark and Michael Weber at the University of Chicago
2019 Housing, Household Debt, and Macroeconomics Conference – September 20, 2019 at the University of Chicago
Stanford Institute for Theoretical Economics (SITE) – July 1-2, 2019 – MFR Program co-sponsored workshop at Stanford University
University of Chicago Policy Forum: Building on the Chicago Approach to Economics – April 25, 2019 at the University of Chicago
Meeting of the Blue Collar Working Group – April 4, 2019 at the University of Chicago
Robustness in Economics and Econometrics Conference – April 5-6, 2019 at the University of Chicago (co-sponsored by BFI’s Big Data Initiative)
2019 Macro Financial Modeling (MFM) Winter Meeting – February 21-22, 2019 at the NYMEX, 300 Vesey Street, New York, NY 10282, USA
Chicago Booth Asset Pricing Conference – December 6-7, 2018 at The University of Chicago
Cryptocurrencies and Blockchains Conference – November 9-10, 2018 organized by Eric Budish, Zhiguo He, Jacob Leshno, and Harald Uhlig at the University of Chicago
MFR/IADB Monetary and Fiscal History of Latin America Conference – September 24-25, 2018 in Washington DC
2018 Monetary and Fiscal History of Latin America – August 24, 2018 in Santiago, Chile
2018 Macro Financial Modeling Summer Session for Young Scholars – June 17-21, 2018 at Cape Cod
Taxation and Fiscal Policy Conference – May 18-19, 2018 at the University of Chicago
2018 Macro Financial Modeling Winter Meeting – January 25-26, 2018 in New York City
The Latin American Fiscal History Conference – December 11-13, 2017 at the University of Chicago
Chicago Initiative in Theory and Empirics (CITE) – August 7-9, 2017 at the University of Chicago
Fiscal and Monetary History of Latin America 2016-17 – various locations
2017 Macro Financial Modeling Summer Session for Young Scholars – June 18-22, 2017 in Bretton Woods, NH
Government Debt: Constraints and Choices – April 21-22, 2017 at the University of Chicago
Macro Financial Modeling Winter 2017 – March 9-10, 2017 in New York City
Macro Finance Society 8th Workshop – November 3-4, 2016 at the University of Chicago
Lars Peter Hansen
Lars Peter Hansen
Lars Peter Hansen is a recipient of the 2013 Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel for his early research. He shares this honor with Eugene Fama and Robert Shiller. Hansen won the 2010 BBVA Foundation Frontiers of Knowledge Award in the Economics, Finance and Management “for making fundamental contributions to our understanding of how economic actors cope with risky and changing environments.” In 2008, Hansen was awarded the CME Group-MSRI Prize in Innovative Quantitative Applications. This award is designed to recognize individuals or groups who contribute original concepts and innovation in the use of mathematical, statistical or computational methods for the study of the behavior of markets, and more broadly of economics. Hansen is one of two scholars to receive the prestigious 2006 Nemmers Prizes in economics and mathematics, believed to be the largest monetary awards in the United States for outstanding achievements in those two disciplines. Hansen’s recognitions also include Fellow, Econometric Society, 1984; Frisch Prize Medal Co-winner, 1984; Member, American Academy of Arts and Sciences, 1993; Member, National Academy of Sciences, 1999; President, Econometric Society, 2007.
Diana Petrova is the Executive Director of the MFR Program. Her role entails providing leadership by working with the MFR faculty director, Professor Lars Peter Hansen, and the MFR advisory committee to develop strategic recommendations and to execute approved plans for the development and growth of the MFR program and its intellectual ambitions. Diana has worked with Professor Lars Peter Hansen for over five years. She also manages the program’s budget, recruiting and hiring of staff, grant administration and other day-to-day research operations such as targeted MFR events, conferences and guidance of communications and marketing efforts to promote MFR research advances with broad audiences. In addition, she works to build relationships with key partners across governments, nonprofits, foundations, the private sector and other affiliated University of Chicago units. Before joining University of Chicago, she worked for Purdue University-Fort Wayne for the Chancellor until 2016 and has prior experience in investment services. She obtained her BA in Journalism from Indiana University-Bloomington in 2012.
Yavor Kovachev is a post-doctoral scholar working for the Macro Finance Research Program. His main research interests lie at the intersection of machine learning, asset pricing and continuous time finance. He holds a PhD from the Stockholm School of Economics and a MSc in financial mathematics from Uppsala University.
Zhenhuan Xie is a Predoctoral Research Professional in the Macro Finance Research (MFR) Program at the Becker Friedman Institute, working with Professor Lars Hansen on research projects related to macroeconomic modeling and asset pricing, which is also where his research interests lie. Zhenhuan holds an M.A. in Statistics from Columbia University, B. Eng. in Engineering Physics and B.A. in English Language from Tsinghua University.
Suri Chen is a Predoctoral Research Professional in the Macro Finance Research (MFR) Program at the Becker Friedman Institute, working with Professor Lars Peter Hansen on research projects related to macroeconomic modeling and uncertainty related to climate change. Suri holds an M.A. in Social Science with a concentration in Economics from the University of Chicago.
Samuel (Daniel) Zhao is a Research Professional in the Macro Finance Research (MFR) Program at the Becker Friedman Institute, working with Professor Lars Hansen on research projects related to macroeconomic modeling and asset pricing.
Joe Huang is a research consultant at the Macro Finance Research Program. He is a PhD candidate in Economics at the University of Pennsylvania. His research interests lie in macroeconomics and finance. He also has experience in computational economics. Before joining the PhD program at Penn, he worked in the asset management industry.