This conference featured research that develops, fields and uses surveys of business leaders’ expectations and beliefs. Key topics included the design and evaluation of such surveys, the formation and accuracy of expectations, how expectations feed into business decisions, and the impact of expectations quality on business performance.
Thursday, October 25, 2018
Lunch and Registration
Uncertainty and Change: Survey Evidence of Firms’ Subjective Beliefs
Business Level Expectations and Uncertainty
Do you Know That I Know That You Know…? Higher-Order Beliefs in Survey Data
Do Managerial Forecasting Biases Matter?
Misallocation Effects and Brexit
Adjourn for the day
Friday, October 26, 2018
Outside of Room 021
Term Structure of Uncertainty: New Evidence from Survey Expectations
Firm Performance and Macro Forecast Accuracy
Atlanta Fed Survey Data
The Micro and Macro Implications of Managers’ Subjective Beliefs