
Insights / Research Brief•Sep 19, 2023
The Labor Market Returns to Delaying Pregnancy
Yana Gallen, Juanna Schrøter Joensen, Eva Rye Johansen, Gregory F. Veramendi
Unplanned pregnancies halt women’s career progression and result in income losses of 20% five years after an initial contraceptive failure. The detrimental effects of unplanned children are larger for younger women and women enrolled in education. In contrast, planned children have minimal impacts on women’s labor market outcomes.
Topics:
Employment & Wages

Insights / Research Brief•Sep 13, 2023
Bottlenecks: Sectoral Imbalances and the US Productivity Slowdown
Daron Acemoglu, David Autor, Christina Patterson
Lagging US productivity growth since the 1970s, despite the rapid pace of innovation in information and communications technologies (ICT) and electronics, is explained in part from an unbalanced sectoral distribution of innovation; that is, technological advances over the last several decades have been unbalanced across sectors and have created endogenous bottlenecks, holding back aggregate productivity.
Topics:
Employment & Wages
Insights / Research Brief•Sep 07, 2023
An Experimental Evaluation of Deferred Acceptance: Evidence from Over 100 Army Officer Labor Markets
Jonathan M.V. Davis, Kyle Greenberg, Damon Jones
Matching U.S. Army officers to units using deferred acceptance reduced attrition in their first year by 16.7%, but this effect faded in the second year. Matching with deferred acceptance had no impact on performance. Communication and coordination of preferences may limit the benefits of deferred acceptance in some matching markets.
Topics:
Employment & Wages

Insights / Research Brief•Aug 29, 2023
Monitoring for Waste: Evidence from Medicare Audits
Maggie Shi
Every dollar Medicare spent on monitoring generates $24–29 in government savings, mainly from the deterrence of medically unnecessary future care. Monitoring increases upfront investments in technology to assess the necessity of care.
Topics:
Health care

Insights / Research Brief•Aug 11, 2023
The (Lack of) Anticipatory Effects of the Social Safety Net on Human Capital Investment
Manasi Deshpande, Rebecca Dizon-Ross
Most parents whose children receive Supplemental Security Income (SSI) benefits overestimate the likelihood that their child will receive SSI benefits in adulthood; further, reducing parents’ expectations that children will receive benefits in adulthood does not increase investments in children’s human capital.
Topics:
Employment & Wages

Insights / Research Brief•Aug 09, 2023
The Impact of Incarceration on Employment, Earnings, and Tax Filing
Andrew Garin, Dmitri Koustas, Carl McPherson, Samuel Norris, Matthew Pecenco, Evan K. Rose, Yotam Shem-Tov, Jeffrey Weaver
Incarceration generates short-term drops in economic activity, but has limited long-run impacts. Why? Most defendants’ challenges in the labor market begin long before they first enter prison.
Topics:
Employment & Wages

Insights / Research Brief•Aug 04, 2023
How Replaceable Is a Low-Wage Job?
Evan K. Rose, Yotam Shem-Tov
Among low-wage workers, job loss causes a 13% reduction in earnings six years later and over $40,000 cumulative lost earnings, mostly due to reductions in employment and hours. Comparable losses for workers earning $15-$30 per hour are driven by wage reductions.
Topics:
Employment & Wages

Insights / Research Brief•Jul 20, 2023
Remote Work and City Structure
Ferdinando Monte, Charly Porcher, Esteban Rossi-Hansberg
US cell-phone-based mobility data reveal that central business trips in large cities have stabilized at about 60% of pre-pandemic levels, with smaller cities returning to pre-pandemic levels. For 274 US cities that stabilized at a large fraction of remote work, welfare losses average 2.7%.
Topics:
Employment & Wages