
Insights / Research Brief•Sep 20, 2023
Households’ Response to the Wealth Effects of Inflation
Philip Schnorpfeil, Michael Weber, Andreas Hackethal
While many households know about inflation and its erosive effect on nominal assets, most are unaware of inflation’s erosive impacts on nominal debt. Once they receive information about debt erosion, households update their beliefs about their own real net wealth and even change their consumption choices.
Topics:
Monetary Policy

Insights / Research Brief•Aug 15, 2023
The Long-term Effects of Inflation on Inflation Expectations
Fabio Braggion, Felix von Meyerinck, Nic Schaub, Michael Weber
German households living in areas with higher local inflation during the hyperinflation of the 1920s expect higher inflation today, suggesting that inflationary shocks have a long-lasting impact on attitudes toward inflation.
Topics:
Monetary Policy

Insights / Research Brief•Aug 01, 2023
Tell Me Something I Don’t Already Know: Learning in Low and High-Inflation Settings
Michael Weber, Bernardo Candia, Tiziano Ropele, Rodrigo Lluberas, Serafin Frache, Brent H. Meyer, Saten Kumar, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Dimitris Georgarakos, Olivier Coibion, Geoff Kenny, Jorge Ponce
As inflation has recently risen in advanced economies, both households and firms have become more attentive and informed about inflation, leading them to respond less to information about inflation and monetary policy.
Topics:
Monetary Policy

Insights / Research Brief•Jul 20, 2023
Price Level and Inflation Dynamics in Heterogeneous Agent Economies
Greg Kaplan, Georgios Nikolakoudis, Giovanni L. Violante
This work offers new insights into the effects of persistent fiscal deficits on US inflation, revealing that targeted income redistribution during COVID increased short-term inflation significantly. The largest sustainable primary deficit is 4.6% of GDP, or 40% higher than current levels, dependent on how deficit spending is distributed.
Topics:
Financial Markets, Monetary Policy

Insights / Research Brief•Jun 30, 2023
Monetary Policy Transmission Through Online Banks
Samuel Earnest, Isil Erel, Jack Liebersohn, Constantine Yannelis
Monetary transmission is significantly larger for online banks; compared to brick-and-mortar banks, a 100-basis point increase in the federal funds rate leads to an approximately-30-basis-point larger increase in deposit rates offered by online banks.
Topics:
Financial Markets, Monetary Policy

Insights / Research Brief•Jun 29, 2023
The Value of Student Debt Relief and the Role of Administrative Barriers: Evidence from the Teacher Loan Forgiveness Program
Damon Jones, Brian Jacob, Benjamin J. Keys
Neither eligibility for nor information about the Teacher Loan Forgiveness (TLF) program affect teachers’ employment decisions. Information increases application and TLF receipt rates for teachers who have already accrued the five years required to be eligible. In general, teachers appear to value the prospect of debt relief, and TLF take-up may be constrained by program complexity and administrative barriers.
Topics:
Fiscal Studies, Higher Education & Workforce Training
Insights / Research Brief•May 22, 2023
Judging Nudging: Understanding the Welfare Effects of Nudges Versus Taxes
John A. List, Matthias Rodemeier, Sutanuka Roy, Gregory K. Sun
A combination of nudges and taxes always outperforms each policy in isolation; however, there is large variation in how much these combinations add to social welfare, reinforcing the importance of empirically quantifying welfare effects.
Topics:
Fiscal Studies

Insights / Research Brief•May 19, 2023
Debt Moratoria: Evidence from Student Loan Forbearance
Ching-Tse Chen, Michael Dinerstein, Constantine Yannelis
Relative to borrowers who had to continue paying their loans, borrowers allowed to pause their payments sharply increased mortgage, auto, and credit card borrowing, with little effect on loan delinquencies.
Topics:
Fiscal Studies, Higher Education & Workforce Training