All Insights

Watch, read, or listen to all insights.
Filter by
Insights / Research BriefOct 29, 2020

Effective Policy Communication: Targets versus Instruments

In recent decades, and especially since the Great Recession, interest rates have remained very low, meaning that central banks have had to devise new ways to invigorate the economy in times of recession. In some cases, like quantitative easing, whereby central banks purchase long-term securities in the open market to increase the money supply and encourage lending and investment, these new tools are deemed unconventional.
Topics:  Monetary Policy
Insights / CommentaryAug 06, 2020

Why banks’ declining reserves matter for the dollar

Financial Times; Wenxin Du
Topics:  Monetary Policy
Insights / Podcast episodeJun 11, 2020

Episode 9: Could the Fed’s Rescue Go Awry?

Eduardo Porter, Tess Vigeland, Raghuram Rajan
Central banks are playing a critical, yet little discussed, role in limiting the economic damage...
Topics:  COVID-19, Monetary Policy
Insights / Research BriefApr 03, 2020

Forward Guidance and Household Expectations • Gender Roles and the Gender Expectations Gap

Policymakers make economic policies based, in part, on their assumptions about how households and businesses will react to a given change in policy. This is especially true of monetary policy, where central banks work to set interest rates that both encourage or discourage economic activity, while keeping inflation at bay.
Topics:  Monetary Policy
Insights / Research BriefOct 15, 2019

Policy Uncertainty in Japan

In the aftermath of the Financial Crisis (2007-08) and the Great Recession (2007-09), households and firms faced lots of uncertainty, not only about when and how the economy would recover, but also confusion on whether and how the administration, Congress, and the Federal Reserve would react. For families considering the purchase of a new car or a move to another city for a job, and for businesses considering new hires or a plant expansion, this policy uncertainty meant that the prudent choice was often wait-and-see.
Topics:  Financial Markets, Monetary Policy
Insights / Chart

The Employment Share of Young Firms is Highly Cyclical

While the share of private-sector employment at young firms has declined over the last 35...
Topics:  Economic Mobility & Poverty, Employment & Wages, Fiscal Studies, Monetary Policy
Insights / Chart

U.S. Real GDP Per Capita (1900 – 2017): Current Economy vs Historical Trend Line

Per capita GDP growth has mostly returned to trend since the Great Recession, but the...
Topics:  Fiscal Studies, Monetary Policy, Technology & Innovation
Insights / Research BriefFeb 06, 2019

IQ, Expectations, and Choice and Human Frictions in the Transmission of Economic Policy

In the months and years following the Financial Crisis and Great Recession of 2007-09, the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank engaged in a number of unconventional policy measures meant to forestall a further drop in economic activity and, ultimately, to ignite economic growth. One of those measures, forward guidance, was intended to stimulate current consumption by informing the public that interest rates would be kept inordinately low for an extended period and hence increasing their inflation expectations.
Topics:  Monetary Policy, Financial Markets, K-12 Education, Higher Education & Workforce Training