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FindingMay 06, 2021

Losing on the Home Front? Battlefield Casualties, Media, and Public Support for Foreign Interventions

Thiemo Fetzer, Pedro CL Souza, Oliver Vanden Eynde, Austin Wright
Fatalities increase media coverage of the Afghan conflict and public demand for withdrawal; however, this effect is significantly weakened when coverage of conflict is overshadowed by other news events, highlighting the crucial role that media play in shaping public support for foreign military interventions.
FindingApr 30, 2021

The Impact of Domestic Travel Bans on COVID-19 is Nonlinear in their Duration

Fiona Burlig, Anant Sudarshan, Garrison Schlauch
While very short and long restrictions limit the spread of disease, moderately lengthy restrictions substantially increase infections.
Topics:  COVID-19
FindingApr 29, 2021

The Forging of a Rebel

Gauthier Marchais, Christian M. Mugaruka, Raul Sanchez de la Sierra, David Qihang Wu
Foreign armed group attacks on household members are associated with a larger propensity that individuals join a Congolese militia in subsequent years.
FindingApr 28, 2021

College as a Marriage Market

Larn Kirkebøen, Edwin Leuven, Magne Mogstad
Colleges serve as local marriage markets, mattering greatly for whom one marries, not because of the pre-determined traits of the admitted students but as a direct result of attending a particular institution at a given time.
FindingApr 22, 2021

Why Working From Home Will Stick

Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis
Surveys reveal that 20 percent of full workdays will be supplied from home after the pandemic ends, compared with just 5 percent before.
Topics:  COVID-19, Employment & Wages
FindingApr 19, 2021

Do Workfare Programs Live Up to Their Promises? Experimental Evidence From Côte D’ivoire

Marianne Bertrand, Bruno Crépon, Alicia Marguerie, Patrick Premand
Results of a Côte d’Ivoire workfare program show limited impacts on the likelihood of employment, but a shift toward wage jobs, higher earnings and savings, as well as changes in work habits and behaviors; fifteen months after the program ended, savings stock remain higher, but there are no lasting impacts on employment or behaviors, and only limited impacts on earnings.
Topics:  Employment & Wages
FindingApr 14, 2021

What Triggers Stock Market Jumps?

Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Marco Sammon
News associated with monetary policy and government spending triggers a greater share of upward than downward jumps in the stock markets of 16 countries, with lower market volatility after jumps triggered by monetary policy news, among other key findings.
Topics:  Financial Markets
FindingApr 08, 2021

On the Ends of the State: Stationary Bandits and the Time Horizon in Eastern Congo

Soeren J. Henn, Christian Mastaki Mugaruka, Miguel Ortiz, Raul Sanchez de la Sierra, David Qihang Wu
Armed actors refrain from using their power to arbitrarily steal from an economy if, and only if, their property rights over stealing from that economy are secure over a long horizon.