Research Briefs·Sep 14, 2026

Proposed Mergers Where Efficiencies Are Needed Most Might Be the Least Likely to Deliver Them

Robert D. Metcalfe, Alexandre B. Sollaci, and Chad Syverson
Proposed mergers rarely offer both large efficiency gains and large market power gains, because either alone is enough to make a deal worth pursuing for firms. This negative relationship is due to the nature of selection into mergers and has...
Research Briefs·Sep 8, 2026

The Success of the Embedded State in England

Leander Heldring, Davis Kedrosky, and James Robinson
Some states govern effectively despite lacking the fiscal resources to fund a modern bureaucracy. This is true of the developing world today, but also historically of currently developed countries. Using a unique survey of English urban government from 1835, the...
Topics: Fiscal Studies
Research Briefs·Sep 2, 2026

The Enjoyment Paradox: College-Educated Mothers Invest More in Their Children’s Learning and Enjoy It Less

Ariel Kalil, Haoxuan Liu, and Ritika Sethi
College-educated mothers spend more time on learning activities with their children despite reporting substantially lower enjoyment of those activities. This enjoyment paradox is sharpest among non-employed, higher-income college-educated mothers.
Research Briefs·Aug 27, 2026

Startups in Africa

Emanuele Colonnelli, Marcio Cruz, Mariana Pereira-Lopez, Tommaso Porzio, and Chun Zhao
Africa’s startup ecosystem is concentrated in a few hubs and led by highly educated founders. Startups demand equity, but that capital is supplied mainly by foreign investors and flows disproportionately to founders with foreign education or work experience, with important...
Research Briefs·Aug 26, 2026

The Effects of SNAP Sugary Drink Restrictions on Consumption and Welfare

Hunt Allcott, Amy Finkelstein, Anna Grummon, and Matthew Notowidigdo
Restrictions on spending SNAP benefits on sugary drinks reduced the average SNAP household’s retail purchases of excluded drinks by 12.4% over the first half of 2026. In states that excluded only some sugary drinks, SNAP households partially substituted to non-excluded...
Research Briefs·Aug 19, 2026

A Novel Assessment of Epistemic Curiosity and its Association With Early Learning Outcomes

Ariel Kalil, Mauricio Koechlin, Michelle Michelini, Dana McCoy, and Terri Sabol
A new assessment for preschool-aged children generates two distinct measures of interest-type and deprivation-type curiosity, both internally consistent. Children’s vocabulary is associated with both measures, most strongly with deprivation-type curiosity, and the relationship is robust to a rich set of...
Research Briefs·Aug 12, 2026

The Value of Behavioral Policies

John List, Matthias Rodemeier, Sutanuka Roy, and Gregory K. Sun
Behavioral interventions, or nudges, generate demand responses that are comparable to substantial price interventions. While nudges have high welfare returns at the margin, price instruments often generate larger total surplus at scale.
Research Briefs·Aug 5, 2026

AI Diffusion Gaps: Unequal Integration of AI Across K-12 Schools

Christopher Campos and John Singleton
Generative AI has spread through K-12 schools faster than almost any classroom technology before it, reaching 90% of schools within three years. But adoption is not the same as integration, which includes the policies, training, and guidance that determine whether...
Research Briefs·Jul 28, 2026

Pricing and Production Without the Invisible Hand

Joel P. Flynn, Georgios Nikolakoudis, and Karthik A. Sastry
A new model abandons the usual shortcut of market clearing and considers how firms choose both prices and production before demand is known—revealing how rationing, slack, and uncertainty shape markups, productivity, and monetary transmission.
Research Briefs·Jul 24, 2026

Financial Sanctions and the Global Payments Network

Gregor Matvos and Brent Neiman
The dollar-based correspondent network offers banks in emerging markets and developing countries greater ability to make and receive payments compared to other currencies’ networks. Financial sanctions are powerful because they sever or degrade access to the dollar network, leaving targeted...