Research Briefs·Oct 28, 2026

Capital-Skill Complementarity Beyond Firm Boundaries

Gert Bijnens, Anders Humlum, and Stijn Vanormelingen
New machinery raises demand for workers with STEM degrees, though not at the firms purchasing the machinery, but instead at the outside suppliers that install, integrate, and service the machines.
Research Briefs·Oct 27, 2026

Crime in Covid Times

Jens Ludwig
Between 2019 and 2021, a nationwide increase in gun homicides pushed the U.S. murder rate up by a third, before it fell almost as quickly. This COVID-era swing has been hard to explain because it defies the canonical economic model...
Research Briefs·Oct 22, 2026

(How) Do We Teach Emotions?

Anjali Adukia, Matthew Bonci, Paula Dastres, Emileigh Harrison, Jake Nicoll, and Teodora Szasz
Educational materials can help children learn about emotions, but textbooks and children’s books present emotions differently in words and images. While the text includes a wide range of emotions, images overwhelmingly show happiness and calm, and demand for positive imagery...
Research Briefs·Oct 22, 2026

Stuck: Why Capital and Workers Don’t Go Where They’re Needed

Why Latin America Grows Slowly
Research Briefs·Oct 7, 2026

Beliefs and Actions under Government Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from Student Loan Forgiveness

Dmitri Koustas, Michael Weber, and Constantine Yannelis
Student loan borrowers who were more optimistic that their loans would be forgiven under the plan announced in August 2022 increased their routine spending by roughly $80 per month, and those who expected the COVID-era pause to be extended again...
Research Briefs·Sep 30, 2026

The AGI Race and Existential Risk

Ethan Bueno de Mesquita and Wioletta Dziuda
Competition among firms developing artificial general intelligence can encourage them to prioritize speed over safety, increasing the risk of a catastrophic outcome. Industry consolidation, regulation facilitating commitment to slow down, and governments entering the race in a safe way improves...
Research Briefs·Sep 29, 2026

Evaluating the Spatial Consequences of a Climate Tipping Point

José-Luis Cruz, Klaus Desmet, and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg
  What Is the AMOC?  The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) carries warm, salty surface water from the subtropics toward the North Atlantic, where the water cools, sinks, and flows back south. The delivery of warm water north helps keep...
Research Briefs·Sep 24, 2026

How Disability Benefits in Early Life Affect Adult Outcomes

Manasi Deshpande, Alessandra Voena, and Jason B. Weitze
Receiving Supplemental Security Income (SSI) in childhood increases children’s earnings in adulthood when parents continue working (and therefore total household income increases), but has zero or negative effects when parents offset the transfer by reducing their earnings. This suggests that...
Research Briefs·Sep 21, 2026

Zoning: Externalities or Misallocation?

Yu-Hsin Ho, Chang-Tai Hsieh, Wen-Tai Hsu, and Yu-Jhih Luo
Residential-commercial zoning in American cities increases neighborhood specialization and reduces resident welfare. The dominant effect of zoning is not to correct externalities—whether the negative spillovers (noise, congestion, pollution) of the traditional Euclidean view, or the positive spillovers from mixing that...
Research Briefs·Sep 14, 2026

Proposed Mergers Where Efficiencies Are Needed Most Might Be the Least Likely to Deliver Them

Robert D. Metcalfe, Alexandre B. Sollaci, and Chad Syverson
Proposed mergers rarely offer both large efficiency gains and large market power gains, because either alone is enough to make a deal worth pursuing for firms. This negative relationship is due to the nature of selection into mergers and has...