Research / BFI Working Paper•Jul 19, 2022
Spending and Job-Finding Impacts of Expanded Unemployment Benefits: Evidence from Administrative Micro Data
Peter Ganong, Fiona Greig, Pascal Noel, Daniel M. Sullivan, Joseph S. Vavra
We show that the largest increase in unemployment benefits in U.S. history had large spending impacts and small job-finding impacts. This finding has three implications. First, increased benefits were important for explaining aggregate spending dynamics—but not employment dynamics— during the pandemic. Second, benefit expansions allow us to study the MPC of normally lowliquidity households in a high-liquidity state. These households still have high MPCs. This suggests a role for persistent behavioral characteristics, rather than just current liquidity, in driving spending behavior. Third, the mechanisms driving our results imply that temporary benefit supplements are a promising countercyclical tool.