BFI Working Paper·May 28, 2026

Explaining the Historical Rise and Recent Decline in Social Security Disability Insurance Enrollment

Manasi Deshpande, Maxwell Kellogg, Magne Mogstad, and Kuan-Ju Tseng
Topics: Employment & Wages
BFI Working Paper·May 28, 2026

Serial Innovators

David Galenson
Topics: Technology & Innovation
BFI Working Paper·May 27, 2026

The AGI Race and Existential Risk

Ethan Bueno de Mesquita, Wioletta Dziuda, and Mattias Polborn
Topics: Technology & Innovation
BFI Working Paper·May 18, 2026

Sophisticated Borrowing Constraints and Macroeconomic Dynamics

Al-Mahdi Ebsim, Chen Lian, Yueran Ma, Pablo Ottonello, and Diego J. Perez
Topics: Financial Markets
BFI Working Paper·May 18, 2026

Proposed Mergers Where Efficiencies Are Needed Most Might Be the Least Likely to Deliver Them

Robert D. Metcalfe, Alexandre B. Sollaci, and Chad Syverson
Topics: Industrial Organization
BFI Working Paper·May 18, 2026

Valuing Disaster Prevention: Desert Locust Monitoring and Control

Joséphine Gantois, Anouch Missirian, Evelina Linnros, Anna Tompsett, Amir Jina, Gordon C. McCord, and Eyal Frank
Topics: Energy & Environment
BFI Working Paper·May 12, 2026

Data Centers and Local Economies in the Age of AI: A Shift–Share Approach

Fernando Alvarez, David Argente, Joyce Chow, and Diana Van Patten
Topics: Technology & Innovation
BFI Working Paper·May 12, 2026

Sentiment and Environmental Performance

George M. Constantinides and Maurizio Montone
Topics: Energy & Environment
BFI Working Paper·May 12, 2026

Diagnostic Expectations and the Macroeconomy

George M. Constantinides and Maurizio Montone
Topics: Financial Markets
BFI Working Paper·May 11, 2026

Global Policy Spillovers: How Environmental Policies Propagate through Product Attributes

Koichiro Ito, James M. Sallee, and Andrew Smith
Topics: Energy & Environment