We study asset pricing implications of a revealing and tractable formulation of smooth ambiguity investor preferences in a continuous-time environment. Investors do not observe a hidden Markov state and instead make inferences about this state using past data. We show that ambiguity about this hidden state distribution alters investor decisions and equilibrium asset prices. Our continuous-time formulation allows us to apply recursive filtering and Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman methods to solve the modified decision problem. Using such methods, we show how characterizations of portfolio allocations and local uncertainty-return tradeoffs change when investors are ambiguity-averse.

More on this topic

BFI Working Paper·Aug 19, 2026

Stablecoins After GENIUS: Private Money, Public Debt, and the Global Dollar

Nellie Liang and Brent Neiman
Topics: Financial Markets
BFI Working Paper·Jul 28, 2026

Reserves and the Buyer of Last Resort

Frédéric Boissay and Harald Uhlig
Topics: Financial Markets
BFI Working Paper·Jul 15, 2026

Supply and Demand with Market Heterogeneity

Ingvil Gaarder, Lancelot Henry de Frahan, Magne Mogstad, Alexander Torgovitsky, and Oscar Volpe
Topics: Financial Markets