Research Briefs·Nov 18, 2025

The Mortgage Debt Channel of Monetary Policy when Mortgages are Liquid

Matthew Elias, Christian Gillitzer, Greg Kaplan, Gianni La Cava, and Nalini Prasad
Despite the aggressive post-pandemic rate hikes, which pushed Australian mortgage rates up by over 4 percentage points and monthly payments up by $13,800, adjustable-rate borrowers did not cut their spending because they tapped into large savings buffers they had built...
Research Briefs·Nov 13, 2025

Closing Early Math Gaps by Parental Education with Technology at Home

Daniela Bresciani Andaluz, Ariel Kalil, Haoxuan Liu, Susan Mayer, and Rohen Shah
A six-month experiment with 459 diverse Chicago families shows that providing high-quality math apps to children of parents without college degrees improved their math skills by 0.17 standard deviations, closing roughly one-third of the initial education-based achievement gap. The intervention...
Research Briefs·Nov 10, 2025

Debt and Assets

Efraim Benmelech, Nitish Kumar, and Raghuram Rajan
Contrary to conventional wisdom, much unsecured debt is implicitly asset backed, and the degree to which unsecured debt is asset backed can change with a firm’s condition and macroeconomic conditions. Asset values can also affect the price of borrowing, notably...
Research Briefs·Nov 6, 2025

Who Pays for Tariffs Along the Supply Chain? Evidence from European Wine Tariffs

Aaron B. Flaaen, Ali Hortaçsu, Felix Tintelnot, Nicolás Urdaneta, and Daniel Xu
Although foreign producers partially absorbed the 2019 US tariffs on European wines by lowering their prices, domestic markups amplified the cost as it moved through the supply chain, ultimately causing US consumers to pay more in dollar terms than the...
Research Briefs·Oct 30, 2025

Jealousy of Trade: Exclusionary Preferences and Economic Nationalism

Alex Imas, Kristóf Madarász, and Heather Sarsons
Many voters support tariffs and protectionist policies that materially hurt them because they derive value from consuming or possessing goods that others want but do not have. Individuals with such “exclusionary preferences” are significantly more willing to accept higher prices...
Research Briefs·Oct 23, 2025

Five Facts about the First-Generation Excellence Gap

Uditi Karna, John List, Andrew Simon, and Haruka Uchida
First-generation students—those whose parents lack college degrees—represent 70% of the student population but only 40% of top academic performers. Large excellence gaps emerge by 3rd grade and persist through high school, with socioeconomic status and school quality explaining only one-third...
Research Briefs·Oct 22, 2025

Firms Have Partial Knowledge: Evidence from a Reform

Avner Strulov-Shlain
A pricing reform in Israeli supermarkets that forced firms to adjust prices revealed that they operated with only partial knowledge of optimal pricing. When forced to explore new pricing strategies, firms gradually learned and improved performance, though meaningful deviations from...
Research Briefs·Oct 15, 2025

Human Capital Accumulation Across Space

Klaus Desmet, Dávid Krisztián Nagy, and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg
Regions with lower education costs maintain persistently higher levels of human capital and development over centuries. Improving educational access in poor regions generates local benefits but may reduce global welfare when population shifts away from more productive areas. Policies that...
Research Briefs·Oct 15, 2025

The Breakdown of the English Society of Orders: The Role of the Industrial Revolution

Cara Ebert, Leander Heldring, James Robinson, and Sebastian Vollmer
The Industrial Revolution fractured the strictures from a centuries-old “society of orders” in England, introducing the phenomenon of social mobility that created new opportunities for workers, and initiating a “dawn of liberty” for those previously entrenched in rigid social hierarchies.
Research Briefs·Oct 15, 2025

The Impact of Language on Decision-Making: Auction Winners are Less Cursed in a Foreign Language

Fang Fu, Leigh H. Grant, Ali Hortaçsu, Boaz Keysar, Jidong Yang, and Karen J. Ye
Using a foreign language reduces the “winner’s curse” in auctions, as bidders make more strategic decisions and are less likely to overbid when processing information in a non-native tongue. This effect largely disappears as bidders receive feedback across consecutive auctions,...