Research Briefs·Oct 23, 2025

Five Facts about the First-Generation Excellence Gap

Uditi Karna, John List, Andrew Simon, and Haruka Uchida
First-generation students—those whose parents lack college degrees—represent 70% of the student population but only 40% of top academic performers. Large excellence gaps emerge by 3rd grade and persist through high school, with socioeconomic status and school quality explaining only one-third...
Research Briefs·Oct 22, 2025

Firms Have Partial Knowledge: Evidence from a Reform

Avner Strulov-Shlain
A pricing reform in Israeli supermarkets that forced firms to adjust prices revealed that they operated with only partial knowledge of optimal pricing. When forced to explore new pricing strategies, firms gradually learned and improved performance, though meaningful deviations from...
Research Briefs·Oct 15, 2025

Human Capital Accumulation Across Space

Klaus Desmet, Dávid Krisztián Nagy, and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg
Regions with lower education costs maintain persistently higher levels of human capital and development over centuries. Improving educational access in poor regions generates local benefits but may reduce global welfare when population shifts away from more productive areas. Policies that...
Research Briefs·Oct 15, 2025

The Breakdown of the English Society of Orders: The Role of the Industrial Revolution

Cara Ebert, Leander Heldring, James Robinson, and Sebastian Vollmer
The Industrial Revolution fractured the strictures from a centuries-old “society of orders” in England, introducing the phenomenon of social mobility that created new opportunities for workers, and initiating a “dawn of liberty” for those previously entrenched in rigid social hierarchies.
Research Briefs·Oct 15, 2025

The Impact of Language on Decision-Making: Auction Winners are Less Cursed in a Foreign Language

Fang Fu, Leigh H. Grant, Ali Hortaçsu, Boaz Keysar, Jidong Yang, and Karen J. Ye
Using a foreign language reduces the “winner’s curse” in auctions, as bidders make more strategic decisions and are less likely to overbid when processing information in a non-native tongue. This effect largely disappears as bidders receive feedback across consecutive auctions,...
Research Briefs·Oct 14, 2025

Why Is Manufacturing Productivity Growth So Low?

Enghin Atalay, Ali Hortaçsu, Nicole Kimmel, and Chad Syverson
Nearly all measured total factor manufacturing productivity growth since 1987, and its post-2000s decline, comes from a few computer-related industries. Conventional productivity growth statistics understate the manufacturing sector’s productivity by failing to fully capture quality improvements. TFP growth is understated...
Research Briefs·Oct 6, 2025

Artificial Writing and Automated Detection

Brian Jabarian and Alex Imas
Commercial AI detection tools significantly outperform open-source alternatives, with Pangram achieving near-zero error rates while open source options misclassify up to 78% of human text as AI-generated. A new policy framework allows institutions to systematically compare detectors based on their...
Research Briefs·Oct 2, 2025

Superstar Firms Through the Generations

Yueran Ma, Benjamin Pugsley, Haomin Qin, and Kaspar Zimmermann
New technologies that exhibit economies of scale, that confer low adoption costs for new entrants, and that require organizational learning, give rise to superstar firms for a long period of time. These firms enjoy systematic advantages relative to both firms...
Research Briefs·Oct 2, 2025

The Effects of Parental Income and Family Structure on Intergenerational Mobility: A Trajectories-Based Approach

Yoosoon Chang, Steven Durlauf, Bo Hu, and Joon Park
Parental income and family structure during childhood and adolescence affect adult income, with these familial influences strongest in middle childhood and adolescence. The effects of income and family structure trajectories exhibit a complementary relationship during key developmental periods.
Research Briefs·Sep 23, 2025

Laboratories of Autocracy: Landscape of Central–Local Dynamics in China’s Policy Universe

Kaicheng Luo, Shaoda Wang, and David Y. Yang
China’s policymaking has historically been highly decentralized, with 82% of local policies originating as local initiatives, but since 2013 has become substantially more centralized as political incentives shifted from rewarding bottom-up innovation to strict enforcement of central policies. Top-down industrial...