Research Briefs·Jan 20, 2026

Closed Visas Trap Temporary Foreign Workers in Worse Jobs

Kory Kroft, Isaac Norwich, Matthew Notowidigdo, and Stephen Tino
Gaining permanent residency leads to a sharp, immediate, and persistent increase in job switching of 21.7 percentage points and a 5.7% increase in earnings, 56% of which is attributable to workers sorting into higher-wage firms.
Research Briefs·Jan 14, 2026

Time-Based Competition Defines Digital Markets: Field Experiments Show Breaking Up Meta Would Harm Users

Joseph Goodman, Lancelot Henry de Frahan, Justin Holz, John List, Evan McKay, Niall McMenamin, Magne Mogstad, Sally Sadoff, and Hal Sider
Field experiments reveal that Facebook and Instagram compete broadly for user time, not narrowly with Snapchat for social networking. When platform usage drops, only 6-16% of diverted time shifts to other social networks; the rest scatters across gaming, YouTube, TikTok,...
Research Briefs·Jan 12, 2026

Direct Lenders Make Inroads into Middle Market Banking, but the Market Still Belongs to Traditional Providers

Young Soo Jang, Dasol Kim, and Amir Sufi
Though direct lending has grown rapidly in recent years, it is primarily concentrated among firms in specific industries and specific geographies where private equity investment is prevalent. Large parts of the US economy remain essentially untouched by direct lending activity.
Research Briefs·Jan 7, 2026

Audits Matter for Productivity

John M. Barrios, Brian C. Fujiy, Petro Lisowsky, and Michael Minnis
Variation in financial reporting quality explains 10-20% of within-industry productivity differences. Audits boost productivity independently of management practices through two channels: improving managers’ internal information and constraining tax-motivated underreporting. The effects are strongest in competitive, low-margin industries and among younger...
Research Briefs·Dec 17, 2025

Dynamic Competition for Sleepy Deposits

Mark L. Egan, Ali Hortaçsu, Nathan A. Kaplan, Adi Sunderam, and Vincent Yao
Most bank depositors rarely shop for better rates and stay with the same bank for nearly a decade, on average. This “sleepiness” accounts for more than half of banks’ deposit franchise value while also creating stability in the banking system.
Research Briefs·Dec 11, 2025

Comparing the Impacts of Cash vs. SNAP on Consumption of Drugs and Alcohol

Anna Chorniy, Amy Finkelstein, and Matthew Notowidigdo
Emergency department visits for drug and alcohol use increase by 20-30% following cash benefit receipt but do not respond to food stamp receipt. This is the first direct comparison showing that cash and food stamps affect consumption differently in the...
Research Briefs·Dec 3, 2025

Stop Using Test Scores to Measure Test Results

Jesse Bruhn, Michael Gilraine, Jens Ludwig, and Sendhil Mullainathan
Collapsing students’ responses to individual test questions to single scores discards useful information about teacher efficacy and student knowledge that predicts outcomes like graduation, discipline, and future earnings.
Research Briefs·Dec 1, 2025

Social Pressure Drives Parents to Adopt AI that May Harm Students

Leonardo Bursztyn, Alex Imas, Rafael Jiménez-Durán, Aaron Leonard, and Christopher Roth
Parents feel pressured to adopt AI for their children’s education if they know that other children are using the technology, despite its uncertain long-term consequences. This social pressure outweighs parents’ personal desire to restrict AI use in classrooms.
Research Briefs·Nov 18, 2025

The Mortgage Debt Channel of Monetary Policy when Mortgages are Liquid

Matthew Elias, Christian Gillitzer, Greg Kaplan, Gianni La Cava, and Nalini Prasad
Despite the aggressive post-pandemic rate hikes, which pushed Australian mortgage rates up by over 4 percentage points and monthly payments up by $13,800, adjustable-rate borrowers did not cut their spending because they tapped into large savings buffers they had built...
Research Briefs·Nov 13, 2025

Closing Early Math Gaps by Parental Education with Technology at Home

Daniela Bresciani Andaluz, Ariel Kalil, Haoxuan Liu, Susan Mayer, and Rohen Shah
A six-month experiment with 459 diverse Chicago families shows that providing high-quality math apps to children of parents without college degrees improved their math skills by 0.17 standard deviations, closing roughly one-third of the initial education-based achievement gap. The intervention...