Using data representing one-third of the world’s population, we find that extreme hot and cold days cause substantial labor supply declines for weather-exposed workers, but not for weather-protected workers. With these results and a simple theoretical framework, we calculate that the value of a weather-protected job’s thermal comfort varies widely globally but is worth 2.9% of annual income on average. We project that climate change will increase worker thermal discomfort by 1.8% of global GDP in 2099 under a very high emissions scenario and 0.5% under an intermediate scenario, demonstrating the importance of this new category of climate damages.

Research·BFI Working Paper·Feb 28, 2024

Climate Change Economics over Time and Space

Klaus Desmet and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg
Topics: Energy & Environment
Research·BFI Working Paper·Feb 25, 2024

Long-Range Forecasts as Climate Adaptation: Experimental Evidence from Developing-Country Agriculture

Fiona Burlig, Amir Jina, Erin M. Kelley, Gregory Lane and Harshil Sahai
Topics: Energy & Environment
Research·BFI Working Paper·Nov 15, 2023

Does the World Free Ride on US Pledges to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions? Evidence from the Paris Climate Agreement

Trevor Houser, Kate Larsen and Michael Greenstone
Topics: Energy & Environment